Kenton Ngo has a post up about several races, including the 32nd district seat owned by controversial Loudoun County Delegate Dick Black. Black faces David Poisson (who we understand pronounces his name "Poison") this year. Ngo thinks Loudoun voters would "double over in pain" if presented the facts about Black. I'm not so sure. Patty Morrissey presented the same set of facts to the voters in Black's district twice - in 2001 and 2003. The second time she even had a ton of money from Mark Warner.
This is an easy call for us: Dick Black wins, probably with close to 60%. Black's district is not as full of religious conservatives as it once was, but Black still runs a formidable machine that is piped in to nearly every conservative activist in the area. And conservative activists vote. Black is also a huge fundraiser and perennial hard worker whose ground game involves papering local churches during Sunday services. It's going to take a lot more than Poisson to kill Black's chances in conservative Loudoun County.
